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悟空

#1  [转载] George W. Obama?

这篇标题有些抓眼球,但写得不错。作者是华盛顿邮报社论版的编辑。

奥巴马要干的事情太多,juggling too many balls. May end up losing control of all of them.  医改意愿虽很好,但是以当前的财务状况,真的是当务之急吗? 况且要负“劫富济贫”之名,连民主党内部都有人反对。

小奥现在的approval rating很高,跟911后小布的相似。但他切不可以为他的political capital是取之不尽的。有限的political capital,要用在刀刃上。国民经济是纲,其余都是目。纲举才能目张。他要是不能deliver,四年后就悬了。

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George W. Obama?

By Jackson Diehl
Sunday, March 8, 2009; The Washington Post

Washington has spent the past couple of weeks debating whether Barack Obama's ambitious agenda and political strategy are more comparable to those of Franklin Roosevelt or Ronald Reagan. Oddly, hardly anyone is talking about the ways in which Obama is beginning to resemble the man who just vacated the White House.

Most Americans are eager to forget about George W. Bush. But just over seven years ago, Bush found himself in much the same position as the new president today -- leading the country through what was universally considered a national emergency. In the weeks after Sept. 11, 2001, Bush's approval rating soared above 80 percent at home. London, Berlin and even Moscow rallied behind him. A front-page analysis in The Post in late November said that "President Bush [has] a dominance over American government . . . rivaling even Franklin D. Roosevelt's command."

Then, according to today's established wisdom, Bush squandered his chance to lead. Three cardinal errors are commonly cited: The president failed to ask a willing nation for sacrifice, instead inviting consumers to shop and heaping on more tax cuts. Rather than forge a bipartisan response to the crisis, he used it to ram through big, polarizing pieces of the Republican Party's ideological agenda -- from asserting presidential powers to breach treaties to eliminating protections for federal workers. Worst, he chose to launch a war of choice in Iraq, thereby shredding what remained of post-9/11 national unity and diverting attention and resources from the fight against al-Qaeda in Afghanistan.

That brings us to the first weeks of the Obama administration, set against the background of a scary and steadily deepening global economic crisis. Last month, in his first address to Congress, Obama warned the country that fixing the huge problems in the financial markets and housing and auto industries would require a historic effort. "None of this will come without cost, nor will it be easy," he said. "But this is America. We don't do what's easy. We do what is necessary to move this country forward."

Minutes later, Obama spelled out what he proposes this to mean for 98 percent of Americans: "You will not see your taxes increased a single dime. I repeat: not one single dime. In fact, the recovery plan provides a tax cut . . . and these checks are on the way."

So much for summoning the country to sacrifice. Obama has been no more willing to ask average Americans to pitch in, even once the recession is over, than Bush.

What about bipartisanship? Like Bush, Obama offered a few early gestures. And like Bush, he has been unapologetic about using emergency measures like the stimulus bill to press polarizing Democratic priorities, such as the expansion of Medicaid benefits to the unemployed and union-friendly contracting provisions.

The Bush administration pushed through the USA Patriot Act in October 2001 by suggesting that opponents didn't want to stop another al-Qaeda attack. In his first news conference, Obama suggested that congressional opponents of the stimulus package "believe that we should do nothing" about the economic emergency. Last week his political team launched a concerted and ugly campaign to portray Rush Limbaugh as the leader of the Republican Party and "I want the president to fail" as its slogan. Republicans who have taken the crisis seriously, offered their own solutions and even supported the president on occasion -- Sen. John McCain comes to mind -- have been ignored.

So Obama hasn't strayed far from Karl Rove's playbook for routing the opposition. But surely, you say, he's planning nothing as divisive or as risky as the Iraq war? Well, that's where the health-care plan comes in: a $634 billion (to begin) "historic commitment," as Obama calls it, that (like the removal of Saddam Hussein) has lurked in the background of the national agenda for years. We know from the Clinton administration that any attempt to create a national health-care system will touch off an enormous domestic battle, inside and outside of Congress. If anything, Obama has raised the stakes by proposing no funding source other than higher taxes on wealthy Americans, allowing Republicans to raise the cries of "socialism" and "class warfare."

Just as Bush promoted tax cuts as a remedy for surplus and then later as essential in a time of deficits, so Obama has come up with strained arguments as to why health-care reform, which he supported before the economic collapse, turns out to be essential to recovery. Yet as he convened his "health care summit" at the White House on Thursday, the stock market was hitting another 12-year-low; General Motors was again teetering on the brink of insolvency and the country was still waiting to hear the details of the Treasury's proposal to bail out banks. George W. Bush might well be asking: Is the president taking his eye off the ball?


2009-3-6 13:49
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笑雨

#2  

前几天看了他在国会的演讲,不知会中全体起立鼓掌多少次?干嘛?无论谁当政,无论在中国在美国在哪个地方,我都不喜欢这种风气。至于吗?一次一次起立,讲两三句话就起立鼓掌?

下边是搞笑的,我用google翻译的文章的一部分.
========================================================
华盛顿在过去的几个星期讨论是否奥巴马的雄心勃勃的议程和政治战略更媲美的富兰克林罗斯福和罗纳德里根。奇怪的是,几乎没有人在谈论如何在奥巴马已开始类似的人谁刚刚腾空白宫。

大多数美国人都渴望忘记乔治布什。但是,刚刚超过7年前,美国发现自己在许多相同的立场新总统今天-领导国家通过普遍认为是一个国家的紧急情况。周后在9月11日, 2001年,布什的支持率上升百分之八十以上在家里。伦敦,柏林和莫斯科上涨甚至在他身后。头版分析后在11月下旬说, “布什总统[已经]一个主导美国政府。 。 。匹敌甚至罗斯福' s命令。 ”


然后,根据今天的成立智慧,布什浪费了他的机会领先。三大错误列举:布什总统没有提出一个愿意为民族牺牲,而不是邀请消费者到店和堆更多的减税。而不是建立一个两党对危机的反应,他用它来记忆体,通过大,偏光片的共和党的思想议程-从主张总统权力违反条约消除保护联邦工人。最坏的情况下,他选择发动战争的选择,伊拉克,从而粉碎了911还有哪些国家统一和转移注意力和资源从打击基地组织在阿富汗。

这使我们的头几个星期的奥巴马管理,设置的背景是一个令人恐惧的不断深化和全球经济危机。上个月,在他的首份施政报告大会,奥巴马说,国家确定的巨大问题,金融市场和住房和汽车行业将需要一个历史性的努力。 “无本会没有成本,也不会是容易的, ”他说。 “但是,这是美国。我们不这样做有什么容易的。我们采取必要措施来推动这个国家向前发展。 ”

.............

尤其是最后一句:George W. Bush might well be asking: Is the president taking his eye off the ball?

美国总统布什很可能会问:总统是考虑他的眼睛"了"球?


2009-3-6 14:23
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悟空

#3  



引用:
Originally posted by 笑雨 at 2009-3-6 07:23 PM:
前几天看了他在国会的演讲,不知会中全体起立鼓掌多少次?干嘛?无论谁当政,无论在中国在美国在哪个地方,我都不喜欢这种风气。至于吗?一次一次起立,讲两三句话就起立鼓掌?

笑雨有所不知,这种场面在总统向国会发表国情咨文(SOU)时很常见。小奥这次因为是就职不久,严格来说不算SOU,但由于是他第一次以总统身份向国会两院发表演说,所以所获待遇与SOU时一样。

但是这种起立鼓掌有很多是partisan的。比如布什发表SOU时,起立鼓掌的多是GOP,民主党们多端坐不动。这次小奥是新科总统,历史上新科总统与国会有100天左右的蜜月期,这期间,在野的反对党也展现所谓good will,对他相当客气。这就是为何你看到全场起立鼓掌的场面。

但有唯一的例外:在前排就坐的最高法院大法官和三军高级将领,一般并不起来鼓掌,其表情有如老僧入定一般。这是显示美国法院和军方独立于党派政治之外。


2009-3-6 14:56
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笑雨

#4  



引用:
Originally posted by 悟空 at 2009-3-6 07:56 PM:

笑雨有所不知,这种场面在总统向国会发表国情咨文(SOU)时很常见。小奥这次因为是就职不久,严格来说不算SOU,但由于是他第一次以总统身份向国会两院发表演说,所以所获待遇与SOU时一样。

但是这种起立鼓掌有..

后来希莱莉都累得吭吃带喘的,站不起来了~~


2009-3-6 21:56
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